Population Matters
Demographic Change, Economic Growth, and Poverty in the Developing World
Edited by Nancy Birdsall, Allen C. Kelley, and Steven Sinding
Price: £25.00 (Paperback)
ISBN-13: 978-0-19-926186-4
Publication date: 24 April 2003
456 pages, numerous figures and tables, 234x156 mm
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| Reviews |
| - 'This book is oneof the most important contributions in the past few years to the debate about the macro consequences of population change.' - Journal of Peace Research
|
| Description | | - An outstanding literature review and meta-analysis of recent cross-national data
- Presents original research on the contribution of high fertility to poverty and the role of fertility reduction in poverty alleviation efforts
|
The effect of demography on economic performance has been the subject of intense debate in economics for nearly two centuries. In recent years opinion has swung between the Malthusian views of Coale and Hoover, and the cornucopian views of Julian Simon. Unfortunately, until recently, data were too weak and analytical models too limited to provide clear insights into the relationship. As a
result economists as a group have not been clear or conclusive.
This volume, based on a collection of papers that heavily rely on data from the 1980s and 1990s and on new analytical approaches, sheds important new light on demographic-economic relationships, and it provides clearer policy conclusions than any recent work on the subject. In particular, evidence from developing countries
throughout the world shows a much clearer pattern in recent decades than was evident earlier: countries with higher rates of population growth have tended to see less economic growth. An analysis of the role of demography in the "Asian economic miracle" strongly suggests that changes in age structures resulting from declining fertility create a one-time "demographic gift" or window of opportunity,
when the working age population has relatively few dependants, of either young or old age, to support. Countries which recognize and seize on this opportunity can, as the Asian tigers did, realize healthy bursts in economic output. But such results are by no means assured: only for countries with otherwise sound economic policies will the window of opportunity yield such dramatic results. Finally,
several of the studies demonstrate the likelihood of a causal relationship between high fertility and poverty. While the direction of causality is not always clear and very likely is reciprocal (poverty contributes to high fertility and high fertility reinforces poverty), the studies support the view that lower fertility at the country level helps create a path out of poverty for many
families.
Population Matters
represents an important further step in our understanding of the contribution of population change to economic performance. As such, it will be a useful volume for policymakers both in developing countries and in international development agencies.
|
Readership: Teachers and researchers of economics and demography, specifically economic development and advanced macroeconomics; those working for development agencies and policy-oriented think tanks.
| Contents |
I. Setting the Stage
1.
How and Why Population Matters: New Findings, New Issues
,
Nancy Birdsall and Steven W. Sinding
2.
The Population Debate in Historical Perspective: Revisionism Revised
,
Allen C. Kelley
3.
Dependency Burdens in the Developing World
,
John Bongaarts
II. Population Change and the Economy
4.
Economic and Demographic Change: A Synthesis of Models, Findings, and Perspectives
,
Allen C. Kelley and Robert M. Schmidt
5.
Demographic Change, Economic Growth and Inequality
,
Jeffrey G. Williamson
6.
Saving, Wealth, and Population
,
Ronald D. Lee, Andrew Mason, and Tim Miller
7.
Cumulative Causality, Economic Growth and the Demographic Transition
,
David Bloom and David Canning
III. Fertility, Poverty and the Family
8.
Population and Poverty in Households: A Review of Reviews
,
Tom Merrick
9.
Demographic Transition and Poverty: Effects Via Economic Growth, Distribution, and Conversion
,
Robert Eastwood and Michael Lipton
10.
Inequality and the Family in Latin America
,
Ricardo Hausmann and Miguel Székely
11.
Demographic Changes and Poverty in Brazil
,
Ricardo Paes de Barros, Sergio Firpo, Roberta Guedes Barreto, and Phillippe George Pereira Leite
IV. Population, Agriculture and Natural Resources
12.
Rural Population Growth, Agricultural Change and Natural Resource Management in Developing Countries: A Review of Hypotheses and Some Evidence from Honduras
,
John Pender
V. Some Economics of Population Policy
13.
Why Micro Matters
,
Jere R. Behrman
14.
New Findings in Economics and Demography: Implications for Policies to Reduce Poverty
,
Nancy Birdsall
|
| Authors, editors,
and contributors |
Edited by Nancy Birdsall, President, Center for Global Development,
Allen C. Kelley, Duke University, and
Steven Sinding, Director-General, International Planned Parenthood Federation
| Contributors:Nancy Birdsall (Carnegie Endowment for International Peace)
Allen C. Kelley (Duke University)
Steven W. Sinding (Columbia University)
Jere R. Behrman (University of Pennsylvania)
David Bloom (Harvard University)
John Bongaarts (Population Council)
David Canning (Queen's University, Belfast)
Robert Eastwood (Sussex University)
Ricardo Hausmann (Harvard University)
Ronald D. Lee
(University of California, Berkeley)
Michael Lipton (Sussex University)
Andrew Mason (University of Hawaii at Manoa)
Thomas Merrick (World Bank)
Tim Miller (Center for the Economics and Demography of Aging, Univ. of California, Berkeley)
Ricardo Paes de Barros (National Institute for Applied Economic Research, Brazil)
John Pender (IFPRI)
Robert M. Schmidt (University of Richmond)
Miguel
Szekely (Inter-American Development Bank)
Jeffrey G. Williamson (Harvard University) |
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